Friday, December 18, 2009

Oregon v Ohio State - A Tale of Two Stories - Part 9: Attempts

Today, I'm going to take yet another look at the stats, only this time, instead of looking at just the yards, I'm going to look at the per attempts.

Passing:
Note: Masoli is ranked 68th and Pryor 97th in passing. 
tOSU averages only 9.90 yards per pass completion defense and Oregon averages 12.04 per completion.  The Ducks average 10.53 yards pass defense and the Bucks average 13.19 per completion.  The difference is the Ducks get 2.14 more yards per catch against the Bucks and the Bucks get 2.63 more yards against the Ducks.  However, having said all of the above, Masoli has accounted for a total of 27 TD's to Pryor's 23. 

Advantage Ducks

Rushing:
tOSU averages 2.66 yards in run defense and Oregon averages 5.51 per run offense.  On the other side the Ducks give up 3.41 yards per run and the Bucks get 4.66 yards per run.  Roughly that is a 3 yard difference when the Ducks have the ball and only about 1 when the Bucks have the ball.

For rushers who have rushed at least 100 times this season, tOSU has three, Saine, Pryor and Herron who have rushed 412 times for 1959 yards and an average of 4.76 per carry.  Oregon on the other hand has two, James and Masoli who have rushed 330 times for 2135 yards and an average of 6.3 per carry. James by himself has more yards, fewer carries and a better average than tOSU's top two rushers (Saine & Pryor).

Advantage Ducks

Totals:
tOSU gives up an average of 4.07 yards per play and Oregon averages 6.13 per offensive play.  Meanwhile the Ducks give up 4.58 while on defense and the Bucks average 5.54 per play.  Again that is 2 yards more that the Ducks average while on offense verses only 1 for the Bucks.

Advantage Ducks

Passing Efficiency:
tOSU averages a passing efficiency defense of 97 rating and a completion percent of 54.66 and Oregon averages 131.71 passing efficiency and a completion ration of 59.12.  On the other side, the Ducks average a passing efficiency defense of 110.60 and a 55.26 completion rate while the Bucks average 127.45 and a completion percentage of 54.32 while on offense.

Advantage Bucks

Special Teams:
On kickoff's Oregon averages over 24 yards per return compared to tOSU's over 23 yards.  On punting Oregon averages 39.64 yards per punt and returns 11.41 yards per punt.  tOSU averages 37.97 yards per punt and only 8.39 per punt return.

Advantage Ducks

Turnovers:
tOSU averages 1.33 turnovers per game and Oregon only averages .25 per game.  However, the Bucks are +3 on fumbles and the Ducks are -3 on Fumbles.  The Ducks averaged a little over one Int per game and the Bucks averaged a little over 2.

Advantage Bucks

This and That:
tOSU averages 2.42 sacks per game while Oregon averages giving up only 1.00 sacks per game.  On the other side, the Ducks average 2.67 sacks per game and the Bucks give up 1.67 sacks per game. 

tOSU averages 6.17 tackles for a loss (TFL's) per game and Oregon averages 6.00 per game.


Advantage Ducks


This takes care of all the official NCAA stats that they keep or at least publish.

So...the bottom line here is that by all accounts it should be the Ducks that wins the Rose Bowl and I am still going to go with what their scoring averages indicate;

Ducks 38
Bucks 29

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